After another 3-5 week, the Sure-fire picks reaching the .500 mark is looking more and more improbable with the season mark at 47-54-1. Four more weeks remain in the regular season and I’ve got some catching up to do.

Tampa Bay (-1) at Washington, 1 p.m. Sunday

All season the Bucs have beaten the teams they should. That will continue Sunday.

Picking games against the spread is tough, but the Bucs make it easy with a very clear pattern they’ve stuck to all season long. They lose to good teams and beat bad ones. Bucs -1.

Green Bay (-7) at Detroit, 1 p.m. Sunday

If you watched Detroit on Thanksgiving you probably realize what Aaron Rodgers is going to do to the Lions secondary in the Dome. It’s not going to be pretty. Packers -7.

Atlanta (-8.5) at Carolina, 1 p.m. Sunday

Things just keep getting more pathetic for the Panthers. In line for the No. 1 pick, there’s no reason to think they’ll pull an upset here. Falcons -8.5.

Seattle at San Francisco (-5.5), 4:05 p.m. Sunday

I double checked to make sure this wasn’t a misprint – the 49ers are favored over another football team. Sure, the Seahawks are nothing to write home about either, but I’ll take the points. Seahawks +5.5.

St. Louis at New Orleans (-9), 4:05 p.m. Sunday

The Saints are long overdue to run somebody over. While the Rams are a pleasant surprise this season, they don’t stand a chance in New Orleans. Saints -9.

Miami at N.Y. Jets (-5), 4:15 p.m. Sunday

The Patriots beat down the Jets in a bad way Monday. They'll take out their frustrations on the Dolphins.

After getting humiliated by the Patriots on Monday, you’d have to think the Jets will come out with a fury. The Dolphins are painfully average and won’t be able to weather the storm. Jets -5.

Kansas City at San Diego (-9.5), 4:15 p.m. Sunday

Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel had an appendectomy Wednesday, but there’s still talk he may play Sunday. I don’t believe it. With Brody Croyle at the helm, things won’t go well for the Chiefs. Chargers -9.5.

Philadelphia (-3.5) at Dallas, 8:20 p.m. Sunday

The Cowboys are playing better, but they are still the Cowboys. The Eagles haven’t played since last Thursday and Mike Vick will dissect the Dallas secondary. Eagles -3.5.