So much for getting to .500 … a 3-5 week has the Sure-fire picks cemented back in the loss column at 44-49-1. Time is running short to get this back on track.

Chicago (-5) at Detroit, 1 p.m. Sunday

Two things are surprising about the Bears - how well the Culter/Martz experiment is working and how much weight Martz gained while I wasn't paying attention.

The Rodney Dangerfields of the NFL are only favored by five over the Lions. Really? With Detroit starting its third-string quarterback I don’t see how this is possible. Bears -5.

Cleveland at Miami (-5), 1 p.m. Sunday

The Browns have played tough against some of the league’s best teams this season. But after struggling with the league’s worst team last week – the Panthers – I think they will revert back to the Browns of old. Dolphins -5.

Atlanta (-3) at Tampa Bay, 1 p.m. Sunday

The Bucs and Chiefs are the two best stories in the NFL this season, but the Bucs have lost by six points or more against all four teams they’ve faced with a winning record. I see no reason this won’t continue Sunday. Falcons -3.

San Francisco at Green Bay (-9.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

With no Frank Gore the 49ers are going to get slaughtered by a Packers’ team angry after a close loss to the Falcons. Packers -9.5.

Washington at N.Y. Giants (-7.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

With a decimated receiving corps, I don’t think the Giants have enough fire-power to run away from anyone right now – even a team as shaky as the Skins. Redskins +7.5.

St. Louis (-3.5) at Arizona, 4:15 p.m. Sunday

After watching some of the Cardinals’ meltdown against the 49ers Monday, I’m starting to think there actually is an NFC West team considerably worst than all the others. Rams -3.5.

Carolina at Seattle (-4.5), 4:15 Sunday

If the NFC West is as bad as I think it is, the Panthers will not only cover this spread, they’ll go into Carrollville and get a win. Panthers +4.5.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (-3), 8:20 p.m. Sunday

Big Ben is banged up and the Steelers just aren’t right. The Ravens have their flaws too, but they’ll have enough to pull this off at home. Ravens -3.

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