After a 4-4 showing last week the Sure-fire picks are still above water at 9-7.

For a while I was trying to figure out why Mike Holmgren would bring in a washed up Jake Delhomme. Now I get it. He wants the No. 1 pick. Better talk to the Bills about that.

In theory things get easier now. Trends have been established, identities formed.

Why then, does this appear to be the hardest week to handicap yet?

Here goes nothing.

Cleveland at Baltimore (-10.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

Looks like Jake Delhomme will return to lead Cleveland on Sunday. That’s very, very bad news for the Browns. Ravens -10.5.

Cincinnati (-3) at Carolina, 1 p.m. Sunday

While rookie Jimmy Clausen may become a fine pro, he’s going to get eaten alive by the Bengals’ defense Sunday. And the Panthers are just bad. Bengals -3.

San Francisco (-2.5) at Kansas City, 1 p.m. Sunday

Luckily for the 49ers they play in the NFC West, so even a loss here wouldn’t be the end of the world. But Singletary will have them playing like it’s do or die and they’ll hand the Chiefs their first loss. 49ers -2.5.

New England (-14.5) at Buffalo, 1 p.m. Sunday

Against my better judgement I’ll go with the Bills here. If they can’t even show up and compete against the Patriots they are hopeless. I already know this though. Bills +14.5.

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (O/U 33), 1 p.m. Sunday

Every once in a while I throw in an over/under pick. I can’t resist this one. The Bucs defense is much improved and we know about the Steelers defense. In addition, Charlie Batch is starting for the Steelers … is it 1999 again? Under 33.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-4), 1 p.m. Sunday

This number seems low to me. The Saints have yet to click on all cylinders and when they do it’s going to suck for their opponent. Sorry Atlanta. Saints -4.

Philadelphia (-3) at Jacksonville, 4:05 p.m. Sunday

Jacksonville seems to have a lot of 4 p.m. games this season. Is the NFL just preparing them for their eventual move to Los Angeles? Anyway, rarely do the Jags get embarrassed in back-to-back weeks. They won’t let Vick go crazy and Garrard will bounce back. Jags +3.

Green Bay (-3) at Chicago, 8:30 p.m. Monday

It’s been a great start for the Jay Cutler/Mike Martz honeymoon, but I think a reality check is in store for the Bears Monday. Cutler turns it over twice and the Pack exposes the Bears secondary. Packers -3.

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