The Sure-fire picks are off to a solid start, going 5-3 in Week 1.

Each season I pick one horrific team to pick against each week. Congratulations Bills ... you are this year's winner.

Picks are still a crapshoot this early in the season, though guesses are becoming slightly more educated.

Baltimore at Cincinnati and New England at N.Y. Jets are the most intriguing matchups of the week to me – must be my inner AFC homer shining through.

Buffalo at Green Bay (-13), 1 p.m. Sunday

Let me reiterate what I said last week – the Bills are really bad. With Ryan Grant out for the season Aaron Rodgers is going to sling it all over the field. That’s bad news for the Bills’ secondary. Packers -13.

Arizona at Atlanta (-6.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

The Cardinals clung to life against the hapless Rams last week. Not a good sign when you’re heading to the Georgia Dome to face an angry Falcons team coming off an overtime loss. Falcons -6.5.

Tampa Bay at Carolina (-3.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

Just like Bucs/Browns last week, this one is a toss-up between two bad teams. If the Panthers are smart they’ll run all day long. However, they won’t be able to resist trying to get Steve Smith and the passing game going which will keep things close. Bucs +3.5.

Pittsburgh at Tennessee (-5), 1 p.m. Sunday

The Steelers squeaked out a home win in OT last week, but with Dennis Dixon running the show I think their luck runs out in Tennessee. The Titans cover in a low-scoring, mind-numbing contest. Titans -5.

Miami at Minnesota (-5.5), 1 p.m.

Old Man River and the Vikings will bounce back against the Fish this week.

It’s a long trip north for the Dolphins and the Vikings have had an extra three days to prepare. I expect the old man to look sharper and for the Vikings’ defense to rattle Chad Henne. Favres -5.5.

St. Louis at Oakland (-3.5), 4:05 p.m.

If the Raiders are going to win any football games this season this is going to have to be one of them. I wouldn’t bank on it, but I’ll take them anyway. Raiders -3.5.

Jacksonville at San Diego (-7), 4:15 p.m. Sunday

San Diego was stunned by the Chiefs last week and Philip Rivers delivered a phenomenal meltdown that had it all – kicking, throwing, screaming, and yelling. Rivers and the Chargers will regroup and take care of business at home. Chargers -7.

New Orleans (-6) at San Francisco, 8:40 p.m. Monday

After getting dismantled by the Seahawks, I give the 49ers zero chance to knock off the defending champs. How do you get dismantled by the Seahawks? Saints -6.

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