The good news is that for the first time in a long time the sure-fire picks didn’t have a losing record last week going 4-4. The bad news is the season total is still a losing effort at 62-64-2. It doesn’t get much harder than trying to figure out Week 17, but I’ll give it a shot.

If you are wondering why the Colts are eight-point underdogs to the Bills this Sunday, look no farther than Curtis Painter.

Indianapolis at Buffalo (-8), 1 p.m. Sunday

Ever see the Colts play with Peyton Manning on the bench? With No. 18 sidelined the Colts would have trouble beating a college football team. The Bills will destroy the Colts in the second half and cover. Bills -8.

Chicago (-3) at Detroit, 1 p.m. Sunday

After a huge upset over Minnesota Monday, you would think the Bears would make easy work of the host Lions. However, this is Jay Cutler and the Bears we’re talking about. I still think they’ll pull this off. Bears -3

New England at Houston (-7.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

To me, playing for the No. 3 seed is motivation enough for the Patriots to play hard Sunday. Assuming they do, I don’t think the Texans are 7.5 points better than them. Patriots +7.5.

Jacksonville at Cleveland (-1.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

Not long ago the Jaguars nearly upset the then undefeated Colts and looked on track for a playoff berth. Now they are underdogs against the Browns. Can they salvage any shred of respectability? I think they can. Jaguars +1.5.

San Francisco (-7.5) at St. Louis, 1 p.m. Sunday

With a win, the 49ers can finish the season 8-8. Mike Singletary will have his guys motivated to reach that goal. Even without motivation they should be able to beat the Rams by seven points. 49ers -7.5.

Atlanta (-2) at Tampa Bay, 1 p.m. Sunday

It’s hard to believe the Bucs could end their season on a three-game win streak. The Falcons are no world beaters either, but striving to finish the season with a winning record will be enough to propel them. Falcons -2.

Tennessee (-4.5) at Seattle, 4:15 p.m. Sunday

Has anyone seen the Seahawks play the last two weeks? The Titans should demolish them with ease. Finishing the season 8-8 after an 0-6 start would be quite an accomplishment. Titans -4.5.

Philadelphia at Dallas (-3), 4:15 p.m. Sunday

Both teams are playing well and this will be an intriguing matchup, but I’m just not a believer in Wade Phillips, Tony Romo, and the Cowboys on the big stage. Maybe they’ll finally prove me and everyone else wrong, but I doubt it. Eagles +3.