Back-to-back 6-2 weeks have the sure-fire picks sitting at 33-23. Pretty impressive. If I know myself, this is where things go dramatically downhill.


In the battle of the man boobs, Bill Parcells and the Dolphins will trump Rex Ryan and the Jets.

Miami at NY Jets (-3.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

The Dolphins have to be the best two-win team in the NFL. If they could get out of their own way, they’d have victories over the Colts and Saints — arguably the NFL’s top two teams. Dolphins +3.5.

Cleveland at Chicago (-13.5), 1 p.m. Sunday

The Bears were demolished by the Bengals last week and desperately need a win to stay in the NFC playoff hunt. Luckily for them, Eric Mangini and the boys are coming to town. Bears -13.5.

Denver at Baltimore (-3), 1 p.m. Sunday

I’ve been wrong about Denver time and time again, but I just can’t resist. The Ravens finally knock the Broncos off their cloud. Ravens -3.

Houston (-3.5) at Buffalo, 1 p.m. Sunday

The Bills have shockingly won two games in a row. Forget about three. The Texans are on a roll and will make easy work of the Bills and their lethargic offense. Texans -3.5.

Oakland at San Diego (-17), 4:05 p.m. Sunday

You think the Browns are a trainwreck — how about the Raiders? I still have no idea how they beat the Eagles. Jamarcus Russell officially implodes this Sunday. Chargers -17.

Jacksonville at Tennessee (-3), 4:05 p.m. Sunday

The Titans have to win eventually … right? Vince Young gets the start and maybe he can energize this dormant team. Titans -3.

Carolina at Arizona (-10), 4:15 p.m. Sunday

The Panthers have been dreadful this season, but can pull to 3-4 with a victory here. After a terrible start, Jake Delhomme gets back on track and keeps Carolina in this one. Panthers +10.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-10), 8:30 p.m. Monday

Nobody has come within a dozen points of the Saints this season, so why would the visiting Falcons? Good question, but I’ve got a feeling about this one. Falcons +10.