Last week's 1-7 effort was regretable and worthy of a knee breaking. Week 4 will be a different story.

Last week's 1-7 record was unacceptable and worthy of a knee-breaking. We'll get it right this time.

I can say with confidence that I have absolutely no confidence in my picks this week. The NFL is just too unpredictable at this juncture. However, the sure-fire picks must press on after a humiliating 1-7 Week 3. The season record is now 8-15. Wow. Here’s to better Week 4 picks.

Denver (-9.5) at Kansas City, 1 p.m. Sunday
The Saints took the Broncos down to the wire last week, but how on earth can the lowly Chiefs – who were clobbered by the Falcons, yes the Falcons, last week – keep this one close? Broncos -9.5.

Green Bay at Tampa Bay (-1), 1 p.m. Sunday
The Packers didn’t impress against the Cowboys Sunday, but their defense will be much more successful against Brian Griese’s dead arm and the pass-happy Buccaneers. Packers +1.

Cleveland at Cincinnati (-3.5), 1 p.m. Sunday
Two teams (and coaches) with it all on the line Sunday. The loser goes 0-4, the winner clings to life. Not sure if the Browns will pull it out, but they’ll keep it close. Browns +3.5.

Minnesota at Tennessee (-3), 1 p.m. Sunday
The Titans are the real deal folks and Jeff Fisher is the most underrated coach in the NFL. Tennessee out-wills the Vikings to remain undefeated and take a firm grip on the AFC South. Titans -3.

Washington at Dallas (O/U 46), 4:05 p.m. Sunday
The Cowboys appear to be at the top of the NFL heap, but will find itself in a dog fight against division-rival Washington. The Redskins inability to score will be their downfall when it’s all said and done. Under 46.

Buffalo (-8.5) at St. Louis, 4:15 p.m. Sunday
If the 0-3 Rams can’t show some pride and lose by less than a touchdown at home, it is time to clean house. Marc Bulger was benched and I fear for Trent Green’s life behind a suspect offensive line, but I’ll go with the Rams for some reason. Rams +8.5.

Philadelphia (-3) at Chicago, 8:15 p.m. Sunday
The Bears are a couple plays away from a 3-0 start. Brian Westrbrook and Donovan McNabb were both injured – on cue – in Week 3 and Westbrook likely won’t play. The Bears will play with some pride in primetime. Bears +3.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-5.5), 8:30 p.m. Monday
Big Ben is banged up and Willie Parker is out, but I don’t care. The young Ravens are in for a rude awakening in Pittsburgh under the big lights. The Steelers cover easily. Steelers -5.5.